Research programm
PROMETHEUS research programme’s operationalisation is structured into 4 interrelated Work Packages (WPs) – from WP2 to WP5.
WP1 and WP6 focus on coordination and dissemination tasks.
Workpackges description
WP2
Data collection
We will retrieve all the necessary data for the project, consolidating it into a comprehensive and unified database. This data, according to a necessary literature review, comprehends data on weather conditions, daily activity patterns and built environments.
WP3
Weather impacts on travel behaviour and daily activity patterns
We seek to comprehend how, and to what extent, weather conditions and individuals’ attitudes towards these conditions influence travel behaviour. This will be implemented through stated preferences, cross sectional and longitudinal analysis of the data collected in WP2. Population profiles will be identified in this context.
WP4
Simulating travel behaviour and daily activity patterns under different climate change scenarios
We aim to simulate changes in travel behaviour and daily activity patterns for different population groups in response to five regionalised climate change scenarios defined by the IPCC. The conceptualization, implementation and calibration of an agent-based modelling is the main challenge on this WP.
WP5
Evaluation of simulations and policy roadmap development
We are committed to evaluate the simulations of travel behaviour and daily activities patterns under climate change scenarios, in order to develop an adaptation policy roadmap in different workshops, assessing also the acceptability of the policies.
Madrid Case Study
Climate Change adaptation research
- The transport sector has focused more on mitigation than on adaptation.
- Existing adaptation policies mainly target infrastructure.
- Daily weather conditions and how different population groups perceive them are rarely considered, even though they strongly influence travel behaviour and daily activities.
- The interaction between the built environment and weather conditions remains largely unexplored.
City characteristics definition
- Madrid is a dense urban area with over 3.3 million residents, surrounded by extensive peripheral zones.
- As part of the Mediterranean region, the city is highly sensitive to climate change, with projections indicating more frequent heatwaves, reduced annual rainfall, and increasingly extreme weather events.
- Local authorities have already implemented policies to curb fossil-fuel vehicle use, promote pedestrian-friendly streets, expand cycling infrastructure, and improve intermodal transport connections.
- A four-wave survey panel will gather data from more than 650 participants, capturing socioeconomic characteristics and attitudes toward climate and weather.
- An agent-based model will then simulate urban mobility patterns under different IPCC climate scenarios in the city.